Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Jezero · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Jezero are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (DLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Jedinstvo are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Jezero hold a 7.9-point power-rating edge (51.5 v 43.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.0% in the First League, while Jezero holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Jezero
Probability
44.0%
Model confidence
44.0%
Jezero has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/1.00