Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Jezero · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Jezero 1-0 Bokelj, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Jezero 1-1 Bokelj
Original prediction
Jezero
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.64 | 34.1% | 41.4% | 7.3 pts |
| Draw | 2.73 | 33.0% | 30.9% | -2.0 pts |
| Away | 2.73 | 33.0% | 27.7% | -5.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.73 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.3 pts
Projected Score
Jezero 1–0 Bokelj
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Jezero
Probability
41.4%
Model confidence
41.4%
Jezero has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
JezeroLWLDL
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
BokeljWLDDL
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
JezeroBokelj
0.0Attack28.7
100.0Defence53.7
33.3Form40.7
45.3Power43.3
1.21xG0.64