Jezerovs
Arsenal Tivat
COMPLETEDMontenegro · First League · 9/5/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Jezero · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Jezero 5-2 Arsenal Tivat
Original prediction
Jezero
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.33 | 38.8% | 41.7% | 3.0 pts |
| Draw | 2.85 | 31.6% | 29.7% | -1.9 pts |
| Away | 3.05 | 29.6% | 28.5% | -1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.33 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Jezero
Probability
41.7%
Model confidence
41.7%
Jezero has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
JezeroLDLWW
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Arsenal TivatLDDDL
GF 1 · GA 8 · avg 0.20/1.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
JezeroArsenal Tivat
0.0Attack39.8
100.0Defence46.3
33.3Form38.9
45.3Power43.6
1.40xG0.88