Jeunesse Sportive Omranevs
ES Tunis
COMPLETEDTunisia · Ligue 1 · 8/30/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
ES Tunis · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (15%), 0-1 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane 3-1 ES Tunis
Original prediction
ES Tunis
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:59 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 9.03 | 10.1% | 25.7% | 15.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.99 | 22.8% | 28.4% | 5.6 pts |
| Away | 1.35 | 67.2% | 45.9% | -21.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-21.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–015%
- 3.0–114%
Predicted outcome
ES Tunis
Probability
45.9%
Model confidence
45.9%
ES Tunis has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60