Jeunesse Sportive Omranevs
ES Metlaoui
COMPLETEDTunisia · Ligue 1 · 9/13/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Jeunesse Sportive Omrane 0-0 ES Metlaoui, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane 1-0 ES Metlaoui
Original prediction
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.23 | 40.6% | 39.8% | -0.8 pts |
| Draw | 2.76 | 32.8% | 31.4% | -1.4 pts |
| Away | 3.40 | 26.6% | 28.8% | 2.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.23 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.8 pts
Projected Score
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane 0–0 ES Metlaoui
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
39.8%
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80