Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Šumperk · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Jeseník are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Šumperk are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Šumperk hold a 20.4-point power-rating edge (35.0 v 55.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.5% in the 4. liga - Divizie F, while Šumperk holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Šumperk
Probability
64.5%
Model confidence
64.5%
Šumperk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80