Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Krnov · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Jeseník are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Krnov are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Krnov hold a 9.5-point power-rating edge (35.0 v 44.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.5% in the 4. liga - Divizie F, while Krnov holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Krnov
Probability
40.5%
Model confidence
40.5%
Krnov has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40