Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Jesenice · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Jesenice are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Krško are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Krško hold a 4.8-point power-rating edge (27.0 v 31.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.4% in the 2. SNL, while Jesenice holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Jesenice
Probability
37.8%
Model confidence
14.4%
Jesenice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00