Jesenicevs
Dren Vrhnika
COMPLETEDSlovenia · 2. SNL · 9/27/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dren Vrhnika · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (13%), 0-3 (10%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Jesenice 5-0 Dren Vrhnika
Original prediction
Dren Vrhnika
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.35 | 37.8% | 27.3% | -10.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 27.0% | 26.4% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 2.53 | 35.2% | 46.4% | 11.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–213%
- 2.0–310%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
Dren Vrhnika
Probability
46.4%
Model confidence
46.4%
Dren Vrhnika has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00