Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Beltinci · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Jesenice are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Beltinci are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Beltinci hold a 39.9-point power-rating edge (27.0 v 66.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.9% in the 2. SNL, while Beltinci holds the strongest overall chance at 84% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Beltinci
Probability
84.5%
Model confidence
15.9%
Beltinci has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40