Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Beltinci · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Jesenice 0-2 Beltinci, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Jesenice 3-1 Beltinci
Original prediction
Beltinci
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:59 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.24 | 17.1% | 7.0% | -10.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.99 | 22.4% | 13.2% | -9.2 pts |
| Away | 1.48 | 60.5% | 79.8% | 19.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
19.4 pts
Projected Score
Jesenice 0–2 Beltinci
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Beltinci
Probability
79.8%
Model confidence
79.8%
Beltinci has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
JeseniceWDLLL
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
BeltinciWLWLL
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
JeseniceBeltinci
28.9Attack61.1
24.4Defence72.2
20.0Form66.7
27.0Power66.9
0.46xG2.85