Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
11%
Mediumconfidencejerv are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Vidar are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and jerv hold a 10.9-point power-rating edge (60.9 v 50.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the 2. Division - Group 1, favouring a draw with 10.8% confidence, a 61% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
23.5%
Model confidence
10.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
jervLWLWD
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
VidarDWWWW
GF 16 · GA 7 · avg 3.20/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
jervVidar
59.0Attack50.0
57.7Defence50.0
61.5Form50.0
60.9Power50.0
2.05xG1.18