Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
jerv · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
jerv are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Våg are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 2.80 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and jerv hold a 21.2-point power-rating edge (44.9 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while jerv holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
jerv
Probability
41.2%
Model confidence
14.3%
jerv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 14 · GA 13 · avg 2.80/2.60