Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
jerv · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
jerv are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Skeid are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and jerv hold a 14.0-point power-rating edge (40.7 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.7% in the 1. Division, while jerv holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
jerv
Probability
58.7%
Model confidence
58.7%
jerv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60