Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
jerv · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
jerv 1-2 Egersund
Original prediction
jerv
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.10 | 29.5% | 36.9% | 7.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.73 | 24.5% | 26.3% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 1.99 | 46.0% | 36.7% | -9.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
jerv
Probability
36.9%
Model confidence
36.9%
jerv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
jervWWWDW
GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
EgersundDDDLL
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
jervEgersund
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.89xG1.61