Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
jerv · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
jerv 3-1 Brattvåg
Original prediction
jerv
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.72 | 52.7% | 45.4% | -7.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.96 | 22.9% | 25.9% | 3.1 pts |
| Away | 3.71 | 24.4% | 28.7% | 4.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.72 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
jerv
Probability
45.4%
Model confidence
45.4%
jerv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
jervWWDWD
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
BrattvågWDWLL
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
jervBrattvåg
59.0Attack33.3
57.7Defence100.0
61.5Form100.0
60.9Power80.3
1.77xG1.25