Jeonnam Dragonsvs
Suwon City FC
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K League 2 · 9/19/2026, 7:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Suwon City FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (11%), 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Jeonnam Dragons 0-3 Suwon City FC
Original prediction
Suwon City FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.60 | 25.2% | 17.9% | -7.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.59 | 25.2% | 20.3% | -5.0 pts |
| Away | 1.83 | 49.5% | 61.8% | 12.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.83 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–211%
- 2.1–110%
- 3.1–210%
Predicted outcome
Suwon City FC
Probability
61.8%
Model confidence
61.8%
Suwon City FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00