GGOALVIO

South-Korea · FA Cup · 3/29/2023, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Jeonnam Dragons · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Jeonnam Dragons are 1W-0D-3L in their last 4 (LWLL), averaging 0.25 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Mokpo City are 3W-0D-0L in their last 3 (WWW), averaging 2.67 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 7 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Jeonnam Dragons hold a 9.6-point power-rating edge (62.6 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.9% in the FA Cup, while Jeonnam Dragons holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Jeonnam Dragons

Probability

41.9%

Model confidence

41.9%

Jeonnam Dragons has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Jeonnam DragonsLWLL

GF 1 · GA 8 · avg 0.25/2.00

BTTS 0/4O2.5 1/4
Mokpo CityWWW

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 2.67/1.00

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
Jeonnam DragonsMokpo City
55.6Attack33.3
55.6Defence66.7
66.7Form50.0
62.6Power53.0
1.80xG1.35
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