Jeonnam Dragonsvs
Gimpo Citizen
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K League 2 · 9/13/2026, 7:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gimpo Citizen · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (13%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Jeonnam Dragons 2-2 Gimpo Citizen
Original prediction
Gimpo Citizen
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.49 | 26.1% | 27.8% | 1.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.25 | 28.1% | 26.8% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 1.99 | 45.8% | 45.4% | -0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.25 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–113%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Gimpo Citizen
Probability
45.4%
Model confidence
45.4%
Gimpo Citizen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60