Jeonnam Dragonsvs
Daegu FC
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K League 2 · 10/24/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Daegu FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Jeonnam Dragons 2-4 Daegu FC
Original prediction
Daegu FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:29 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.44 | 20.6% | 20.8% | 0.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.09 | 22.4% | 22.1% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 1.61 | 56.9% | 57.0% | 0.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.61 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
Daegu FC
Probability
57.0%
Model confidence
57.0%
Daegu FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00