Jeonnam Dragonsvs
Cheonan City
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K League 2 · 8/28/2026, 10:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cheonan City · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Jeonnam Dragons 1-0 Cheonan City
Original prediction
Cheonan City
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.33 | 39.1% | 33.4% | -5.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.39 | 26.9% | 25.9% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.69 | 33.9% | 40.8% | 6.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Cheonan City
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
40.8%
Cheonan City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60