GGOALVIO

World · AFC Champions League Elite · 9/16/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Jeonbuk Motors · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Jeonbuk Motors 2-1 Kashiwa Reysol

Original prediction

Jeonbuk Motors

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 2 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home3.3627.5%39.8%12.4 pts
Draw3.3227.7%27.7%-0.0 pts
Away2.0644.8%32.5%-12.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 2.36 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

12.4 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–112%
  2. 2.2–110%
  3. 3.1–010%

Predicted outcome

Jeonbuk Motors

Probability

39.8%

Model confidence

39.8%

Jeonbuk Motors has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Jeonbuk MotorsLDWDD

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Kashiwa ReysolWLLWW

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Jeonbuk MotorsKashiwa Reysol
53.3Attack50.0
60.0Defence50.0
56.7Form50.0
58.1Power50.0
1.74xG1.06
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