Jeonbuk Motorsvs
Gwangju FC
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K League 1 · 9/20/2026, 7:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Jeonbuk Motors · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Jeonbuk Motors 2-0 Gwangju FC, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Jeonbuk Motors 2-2 Gwangju FC
Original prediction
Jeonbuk Motors
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.42 | 65.0% | 75.0% | 10.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.40 | 21.0% | 17.4% | -3.6 pts |
| Away | 6.61 | 14.0% | 7.6% | -6.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.40 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.0 pts
Projected Score
Jeonbuk Motors 2–0 Gwangju FC
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Jeonbuk Motors
Probability
75.0%
Model confidence
75.0%
Jeonbuk Motors has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20