Jeju United FCvs
Daejeon Citizen
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K League 1 · 8/30/2026, 10:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Jeju United FC 0-0 Daejeon Citizen, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Jeju United FC 3-1 Daejeon Citizen
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.36 | 27.7% | 34.9% | 7.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 28.1% | 29.6% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 2.10 | 44.2% | 35.5% | -8.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.5 pts
Projected Score
Jeju United FC 0–0 Daejeon Citizen
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
29.6%
Model confidence
35.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Jeju United FCLDLWW
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Daejeon CitizenWWWLW
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Jeju United FCDaejeon Citizen
37.3Attack45.3
65.3Defence61.3
46.7Form42.7
52.1Power50.3
0.93xG0.85