JEF United Chibavs
Yokohama F. Marinos
COMPLETEDJapan · J1 League · 10/17/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Yokohama F. Marinos · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (14%), 0-1 (14%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
JEF United Chiba 0-0 Yokohama F. Marinos
Original prediction
Yokohama F. Marinos
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.56 | 26.3% | 15.6% | -10.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.51 | 26.6% | 21.4% | -5.3 pts |
| Away | 1.99 | 47.1% | 63.0% | 15.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.51 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–214%
- 2.0–114%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
Yokohama F. Marinos
Probability
63.0%
Model confidence
63.0%
Yokohama F. Marinos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60