GGOALVIO

Japan · J2 League · 2/25/2023, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

JEF United Chiba are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Montedio Yamagata are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 2 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Montedio Yamagata hold a 34.6-point power-rating edge (54.1 v 88.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 33.9% in the J2 League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

33.9%

Model confidence

33.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

JEF United ChibaW

GF 1 · GA 0 · avg 1.00/0.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
Montedio YamagataW

GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
JEF United ChibaMontedio Yamagata
48.1Attack66.7
57.4Defence100.0
51.9Form100.0
54.1Power88.7
1.19xG1.22
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