GGOALVIO

Japan · J1 League · 4/11/2026, 4:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mito Hollyhock · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

JEF United Chiba are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Mito Hollyhock are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Mito Hollyhock hold a 27.5-point power-rating edge (9.0 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.7% in the J1 League, while Mito Hollyhock holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mito Hollyhock

Probability

37.7%

Model confidence

37.7%

Mito Hollyhock has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

JEF United ChibaWLLLW

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Mito HollyhockDLWDL

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
JEF United ChibaMito Hollyhock
0.0Attack33.3
0.0Defence50.0
0.0Form16.7
9.0Power36.5
1.26xG1.43
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