Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Saturday, 1 August 202611:00Updated today
JEF United Chiba

JEF United Chiba

Home
L
vs
11:00
Kashiwa Reysol

Kashiwa Reysol

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Kashiwa Reysol33%
JEF United Chiba33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score1-1
Win probability
JEF United Chiba
33%
Draw
33%
Kashiwa Reysol
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
JEF United Chiba
9
Kashiwa Reysol
34
Defence
JEF United Chiba
27
Kashiwa Reysol
91
Momentum
JEF United Chiba
0
Kashiwa Reysol
100
Danger (xG)
JEF United Chiba
0.00
Kashiwa Reysol
0.90
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (JEF United Chiba)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (Kashiwa Reysol)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (JEF United Chiba)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Kashiwa Reysol)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba
L
Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol
W

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
JEF United Chiba33%
Draw33%
Kashiwa Reysol33%

Kashiwa Reysol leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

JEF United Chiba head into this in Friendlies Clubs fixture in mixed form (L), while Kashiwa Reysol arrive in mixed form (W). JEF United Chiba have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Kashiwa Reysol over 1 games.

The model rates JEF United Chiba's attack at 9/100 against a 91/100 Kashiwa Reysol defence, and Kashiwa Reysol's attack at 34/100 against a 27/100 JEF United Chiba backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

JEF United Chiba have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 0.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per home match. Kashiwa Reysol have been excellent on the road, winning all 1 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between JEF United Chiba and Kashiwa Reysol in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects a draw with 33% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-1. Win probabilities: JEF United Chiba 3333%, Draw 3333%, Kashiwa Reysol 3334%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

JEF United Chiba

JEF United Chiba

L
vs Kashima
17 May 2026
02
Kashiwa Reysol

Kashiwa Reysol

W
@ Yokohama F. Marinos
16 May 2026
10

Frequently asked questions

Who will win JEF United Chiba vs Kashiwa Reysol?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for JEF United Chiba vs Kashiwa Reysol?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-1.

Will both teams score in JEF United Chiba vs Kashiwa Reysol?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in JEF United Chiba vs Kashiwa Reysol?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more