JEF United Chibavs
Gamba Osaka
COMPLETEDJapan · J1 League · 9/6/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gamba Osaka · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
JEF United Chiba 2-0 Gamba Osaka
Original prediction
Gamba Osaka
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.19 | 29.3% | 26.4% | -2.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.43 | 27.2% | 24.9% | -2.3 pts |
| Away | 2.15 | 43.5% | 48.7% | 5.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–29%
Predicted outcome
Gamba Osaka
Probability
48.7%
Model confidence
48.7%
Gamba Osaka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20