JEF United ChibavsFC Tokyo

JEF United Chiba are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while FC Tokyo are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Tokyo hold a 16.2-point power-rating edge (9.0 v 25.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.7% in the J1 League, while FC Tokyo holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.