Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sutjeska · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Jedinstvo are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (LWL), averaging 0.67 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Sutjeska are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 8 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Sutjeska hold an 11.1-point power-rating edge (43.6 v 54.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.8% in the First League, while Sutjeska holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sutjeska
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
40.8%
Sutjeska has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.67/1.00
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20