Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Jedinstvo · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Jedinstvo are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Rudar are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Jedinstvo hold an 8.4-point power-rating edge (43.6 v 35.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.9% in the First League, while Jedinstvo holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Jedinstvo
Probability
48.9%
Model confidence
48.9%
Jedinstvo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40