GGOALVIO

Serbia · Prva Liga · 9/21/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Jedinstvo Ub 0-0 Loznica, with an exact score probability of 24%.

Prediction record

Final result

Jedinstvo Ub 2-3 Loznica

Original prediction

Draw

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.5335.5%33.7%-1.8 pts
Draw3.1128.9%32.2%3.3 pts
Away2.5235.6%34.1%-1.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

3.3 pts

Projected Score

Jedinstvo Ub 0–0 Loznica

Exact score probability: 24%

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

32.2%

Model confidence

34.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Jedinstvo UbLWLDL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
LoznicaDLDWD

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Jedinstvo UbLoznica
50.0Attack35.2
83.3Defence75.2
66.7Form58.1
68.0Power58.6
0.74xG0.75
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