Jedinstvo Ubvs
Grafičar
COMPLETEDSerbia · Prva Liga · 10/17/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Grafičar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Jedinstvo Ub 3-1 Grafičar
Original prediction
Grafičar
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.47 | 36.8% | 32.5% | -4.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.23 | 28.1% | 24.8% | -3.2 pts |
| Away | 2.58 | 35.1% | 42.7% | 7.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Grafičar
Probability
42.7%
Model confidence
42.7%
Grafičar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40