GGOALVIO

Serbia · Prva Liga · 8/29/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Jedinstvo Ub 1-1 FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV

Original prediction

FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home3.9023.2%35.4%12.2 pts
Draw3.6624.7%28.5%3.7 pts
Away1.7452.0%36.1%-16.0 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.66 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-16.0 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–115%
  2. 2.1–013%
  3. 3.0–013%

Predicted outcome

FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV

Probability

36.1%

Model confidence

36.1%

FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Jedinstvo UbLLLWD

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRVDDLWL

GF 11 · GA 12 · avg 2.20/2.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Jedinstvo UbFK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
45.9Attack100.0
64.9Defence33.3
60.4Form100.0
58.7Power80.3
1.23xG0.94
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