GGOALVIO

Serbia · Prva Liga · 10/4/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Jedinstvo Ub · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Jedinstvo Ub 0-0 Dubočica

Original prediction

Jedinstvo Ub

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 10:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.2240.7%36.4%-4.3 pts
Draw3.2028.2%30.1%1.9 pts
Away2.8931.2%33.5%2.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.20 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-4.3 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–115%
  2. 2.0–012%
  3. 3.1–011%

Predicted outcome

Jedinstvo Ub

Probability

36.4%

Model confidence

36.4%

Jedinstvo Ub has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Jedinstvo UbLLLWL

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
DubočicaDDWLL

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Jedinstvo UbDubočica
55.6Attack44.4
55.6Defence88.9
44.4Form55.6
53.1Power62.7
1.15xG1.11
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