Jecheon Citizenvs
Jincheon
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K4 League · 9/12/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Jincheon · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 0-2 (11%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Jecheon Citizen 1-1 Jincheon
Original prediction
Jincheon
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.35 | 26.6% | 20.3% | -6.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.43 | 26.0% | 22.3% | -3.7 pts |
| Away | 1.88 | 47.4% | 57.5% | 10.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.43 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.0–211%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
Jincheon
Probability
57.5%
Model confidence
57.5%
Jincheon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80