Jecheon Citizenvs
Geoje Citizen
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K4 League · 9/19/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Geoje Citizen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Jecheon Citizen 0-2 Geoje Citizen
Original prediction
Geoje Citizen
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.87 | 30.9% | 33.4% | 2.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.45 | 25.8% | 23.1% | -2.7 pts |
| Away | 2.06 | 43.3% | 43.5% | 0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.06 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Geoje Citizen
Probability
43.5%
Model confidence
43.5%
Geoje Citizen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80