GGOALVIO

Latvia · 1. Liga · 4/23/2023, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

JDFS Alberts · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Highconfidence

JDFS Alberts are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (DLL), averaging 0.67 scored and 1.33 conceded, while Tukums II are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 5 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and JDFS Alberts hold a 31.8-point power-rating edge (58.7 v 26.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 82.7% in the 1. Liga, while JDFS Alberts holds the strongest overall chance at 83% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

JDFS Alberts

Probability

82.7%

Model confidence

82.7%

JDFS Alberts has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

JDFS AlbertsDLL

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.67/1.33

BTTS 2/3O2.5 1/3
Tukums IILW

GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 0.50/1.50

BTTS 0/2O2.5 1/2
JDFS AlbertsTukums II
66.7Attack43.8
52.1Defence6.3
58.3Form25.0
58.7Power26.9
4.16xG1.07
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