Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
JBK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 4-2 (7%), 3-2 (7%), 4-1 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
JBK 5-0 Kraft
Original prediction
JBK
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 14:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.39 | 65.3% | 64.1% | -1.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.81 | 18.8% | 15.7% | -3.1 pts |
| Away | 5.68 | 15.9% | 20.2% | 4.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.39 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.4–27%
- 2.3–27%
- 3.4–16%
Predicted outcome
JBK
Probability
64.1%
Model confidence
64.1%
JBK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
JBKWWWWW
GF 14 · GA 1 · avg 2.80/0.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
KraftLDLWL
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
JBKKraft
68.5Attack92.6
55.6Defence16.7
57.4Form42.6
59.8Power48.9
4.01xG2.30