Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
JBK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 4-1 (10%), 5-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
JBK 3-0 Jaro 2
Original prediction
JBK
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.07 | 85.4% | 83.9% | -1.5 pts |
| Draw | 9.68 | 9.4% | 9.2% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 17.75 | 5.2% | 6.9% | 1.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.07 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.4–110%
- 2.5–19%
- 3.3–18%
Predicted outcome
JBK
Probability
83.9%
Model confidence
83.9%
JBK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
JBKWLDWW
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Jaro 2LLLDL
GF 5 · GA 17 · avg 1.00/3.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
JBKJaro 2
68.2Attack56.1
56.1Defence0.0
57.6Form39.4
59.6Power33.9
4.50xG1.33