Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
JBK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1
JBK are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Jaro 2 are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and JBK hold a 14.0-point power-rating edge (55.9 v 41.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.1% in the Kakkonen - Lohko C, while JBK holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 81% BTTS chance and 92% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
JBK
Probability
73.5%
Model confidence
8.1%
JBK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40