Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Javor · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Javor 0-0 Napredak, with an exact score probability of 23%.
Prediction record
Final result
Javor 3-0 Napredak
Original prediction
Javor
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.14 | 42.3% | 41.1% | -1.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.08 | 29.4% | 31.7% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 3.20 | 28.3% | 27.2% | -1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.14 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.1 pts
Projected Score
Javor 0–0 Napredak
Exact score probability: 23%
Predicted outcome
Javor
Probability
41.1%
Model confidence
41.1%
Javor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
JavorDWLDD
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
NapredakLDWWW
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
JavorNapredak
39.6Attack33.3
77.5Defence100.0
62.2Form100.0
61.7Power80.3
0.97xG0.56