Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Javor · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Javor 1-0 Naftagas, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Javor 4-2 Naftagas
Original prediction
Javor
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.15 | 78.7% | 54.6% | -24.1 pts |
| Draw | 6.22 | 14.5% | 26.3% | 11.8 pts |
| Away | 13.33 | 6.8% | 19.1% | 12.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.15 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-24.1 pts
Projected Score
Javor 1–0 Naftagas
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Javor
Probability
54.6%
Model confidence
54.6%
Javor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
JavorDDWWD
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
NaftagasDDDLW
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
JavorNaftagas
39.6Attack0.0
77.5Defence66.7
62.2Form0.0
61.7Power23.7
1.22xG0.49