GGOALVIO

Javor logoJavorvsBorac Cacak logoBorac Cacak

COMPLETED

Serbia · Prva Liga · 10/4/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Javor · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (10%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Javor 3-1 Borac Cacak

Original prediction

Javor

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 10:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.8449.6%39.5%-10.1 pts
Draw3.5425.8%29.1%3.3 pts
Away3.7324.5%31.4%6.9 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.84 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-10.1 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.0–010%
  3. 3.1–010%

Predicted outcome

Javor

Probability

39.5%

Model confidence

39.5%

Javor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

JavorDWDDW

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Borac CacakDWLWW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
JavorBorac Cacak
100.0Attack55.6
33.3Defence66.7
100.0Form77.8
80.3Power70.7
1.29xG1.18
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