Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Jas Qyran · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Jas Qyran are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Atyrau are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDDDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Jas Qyran hold a 16.4-point power-rating edge (62.0 v 45.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.5% in the Cup, while Jas Qyran holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Jas Qyran
Probability
49.5%
Model confidence
13.5%
Jas Qyran has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00