Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Jarun · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Jarun are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Zagora are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 50.0 against 50.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.8% in the Second NL, while Jarun holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Jarun
Probability
41.5%
Model confidence
12.8%
Jarun has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60