Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Jarun · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Jarun 3-3 Trnje
Original prediction
Jarun
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 18:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.92 | 47.1% | 46.9% | -0.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.46 | 26.1% | 27.1% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 3.36 | 26.9% | 26.0% | -0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.46 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Jarun
Probability
46.9%
Model confidence
46.9%
Jarun has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
JarunWDDDL
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
TrnjeWWWDD
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
JarunTrnje
50.0Attack33.3
50.0Defence45.6
50.0Form36.7
50.0Power40.2
1.77xG0.87