Jarunvs
Grobničan Čavle
COMPLETEDCroatia · Second NL · 9/26/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Jarun · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Jarun 3-0 Grobničan Čavle
Original prediction
Jarun
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 18:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.50 | 59.8% | 43.3% | -16.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.98 | 22.6% | 26.9% | 4.4 pts |
| Away | 5.08 | 17.7% | 29.8% | 12.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.50 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-16.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Jarun
Probability
43.3%
Model confidence
43.3%
Jarun has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
JarunDDWDD
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Grobničan ČavleWLDWL
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
JarunGrobničan Čavle
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence53.3
50.0Form38.9
50.0Power47.7
1.51xG1.34