GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 4 · 8/29/2026, 2:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Jarosław · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Jarosław are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Star Starachowice are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 31.3 against 31.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.3% in the III Liga - Group 4, while Jarosław holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Jarosław

Probability

43.0%

Model confidence

11.3%

Jarosław has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

JarosławLLDWL

GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Star StarachowiceDLWDW

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
JarosławStar Starachowice
50.0Attack33.3
16.7Defence33.3
16.7Form16.7
31.3Power31.3
1.77xG1.50
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