GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 4 · 8/22/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Jarosław · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Jarosław are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (LDL), averaging 1.33 scored and 2.67 conceded, while Podlasie Biała Podlaska are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 8 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and podlasie Biała Podlaska hold a 5.2-point power-rating edge (31.3 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the III Liga - Group 4, favouring Jarosław with 12.4% confidence, a 62% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Jarosław

Probability

37.9%

Model confidence

12.4%

Jarosław has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

JarosławLDL

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 1.33/2.67

BTTS 3/3O2.5 3/3
Podlasie Biała PodlaskaDLLDD

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 1/5
JarosławPodlasie Biała Podlaska
50.0Attack16.7
16.7Defence66.7
16.7Form16.7
31.3Power36.5
1.54xG1.48
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